主講人：陸方文 教授 人民大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院
主持人：李輝文 教授 上海對(duì)外經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)國(guó)際經(jīng)貿(mào)學(xué)院
時(shí)間：2021年05月17日周一下午，14:00-16:00
地點(diǎn)：上海對(duì)外經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)信息樓507會(huì)議室
主辦：上海對(duì)外經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)國(guó)際經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易系
主講人簡(jiǎn)介：
陸方文，于2011年畢業(yè)于美國(guó)加州伯克利大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)博士，現(xiàn)任中國(guó)人民大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院教授，2018年度教育部青年長(zhǎng)江學(xué)者和國(guó)家自科基金優(yōu)秀青年項(xiàng)目獲得者。她擅長(zhǎng)運(yùn)用隨機(jī)實(shí)驗(yàn)方法探討行為經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)領(lǐng)域的熱點(diǎn)難點(diǎn)問(wèn)題，其研究成果發(fā)表在經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、管理學(xué)和醫(yī)學(xué)的頂尖學(xué)術(shù)期刊，其中包括《Journal of Development Economics》、《Journal of Labor Economics》、《Journal of Public Economics》 (2)、《Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization》、《Management Science》、《British Medical Journal》、《經(jīng)濟(jì)研究》等，并出版專(zhuān)著《隨機(jī)實(shí)地實(shí)驗(yàn)：理論、方法和在中國(guó)的運(yùn)用》。她的論文榮獲“教育部第五屆全國(guó)教育科學(xué)研究?jī)?yōu)秀成果獎(jiǎng)”和“北京市第十四屆哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)優(yōu)秀成果獎(jiǎng)”，并且被杰弗里·佩羅夫撰寫(xiě)的 《Microeconomics》和《Microeconomics: Theory and Applications with Calculus》等國(guó)際經(jīng)典教科書(shū)引用。
報(bào)告摘要
more than one third of students prefer not to receive midterm test scores, which is associated with both the self-predicted midterm score and true score. Second, the prediction on midterm test score shows overconfidence on average while that on ranking show some underconfidence. Third, after receiving their test scores, the ex-ante overconfident students shift their base for ranking prediction from their predicted score to the actual score significant, while the under-confident students improve their prediction on the relative ranking. Forth, although the intervention shifts the predicted midterm ranking by 12 points among overconfident students, its impact on the prediction of the final exam score is only 4 points, which is not statistically significant. Last, among overconfident students, the intervention worsen their relative standing in the distribution of actual final exam scores. The deteriorating effect concentrates among the part of overconfident students who prefer to receive information on midterm test score.